What Are The Odds That Milos Raonic Wins The Miami Open?

Canada has high hopes at the Miami Open in the number one men’s singles star Milos Raonic.  The 24 year old from Toronto edged into the Last 16 in Miami, and is one win away from qualifying for the quarterfinal round.

As one of the top 10 bets on the ATP World Tour, Raonic automatically qualified for the second round in Miami to begin the tournament.  He cruised through his first match in straight sets before drawing France’s Jeremy Chardy in the third round.

The third round began strongly for Raonic who scored a straightforward 6-1 win in the first set, helped by his powerful serve.  ATP world champion Novak Djokovic has said on the record that Raonic has one of the strongest serves in tennis, which will help the young Canadian have a bright future in the game.

Unfortunately Raonic seemed to lose control of his serve in the second set against Chardy.  Rather than score aces or serve exactly where he wanted, Raonic’s movements were off kilter, allowing Chardy to take advantage of the mistakes and force the extra set by winning 7-5.

The third set began with more errors by Raonic, and Canadians were left on the edge of their seats as the hometown hero appeared to be on his last legs.  But Raonic found his good arm again before time was up, and managed to even the score at 6 games apiece late in the third and decisive set.

With an advantage and the serve on his side of the court, Raonic began another game with a hard break that Chardy returned with a weak strike of his own.  Raonic answered back with a hard swing, too hard for Chardy as he sent the ball into the net.  The match point was Raonic’s to take, putting Chardy to bed and preparing for the fourth round against John Isner from the US.

If Raonic pulls off a win over Isner, he draws reasonable odds of a replay with rival Kei Nishikori in the quarterfinals.  Nishikori plays 18th seed David Goffin and is favoured to beat his opponent.

Raonic and Nishikori have played each other 7 times in the last 3 years, and are one of the most exciting rivalries outside of the Big Four of men’s tennis.  The two rivals even set a record at the US Open for the longest Grand Slam match in history before Nishikori finally edged ahead in the fifth and final set of the match.

Raonic has a tough road ahead to win the Miami Open.  But a strong swing coupled with experience against most of his opponents should give the Canadian the required edge to go the distance down south.